Statistical Inference II

This course focuses on hypothesis testing, which includes classical significance tests and modern selective inference methods. The main emphasis is on understanding general concepts rather than emphasizing mathematical rigour.

Program

COX AND HINKLEY (1976)

§3 PURE SIGNIFICANCE TESTS
§3.1 Null hypotheses
§3.2 Test statistics and their null distributions
§3.3 Composite null hypotheses
§3.4 Discussion
Examples 3.1, 3.2, 3.4
Exercises 3.1, 3.13

§6 DISTRIBUTION-FREE AND RANDOMIZATION TESTS
§6.1 General
§6.4 Randomization tests
Example 6.7
Exercise 6.3

§7 INTERVAL ESTIMATION
§7.1 Introduction
§7.2 Scalar parameter
Examples 7.1, 7.4
Exercise 7.1

DAVISON (2003)

Section 7.3.1 (pages 325 - 332)
Section 7.3.4 (pages 343 - 346)

Exercises 7.3 (page 347): 1, 2, 3
Problems 7.5 (page 350 - 351): 15, 16, 17, 18

COX AND HINKLEY (1976)

§4 SIGNIFICANCE TESTS: SIMPLE NULL HYPOTHESES
§4.1 General
§4.2 Formulation
§4.3 Simple null hypothesis and simple alternative hypothesis
§4.4 Some examples
§4.5 Discrete problems
§4.6 Composite alternatives
§4.7 Two-sided tests
§4.8 Local power
§4.9 Multidimensional alternatives
Examples 4.1, 4.3, 4.4, 4.5, 4.9, 4.10, 4.11, 4.13
Exercises 4.6, 4.13

§5 SIGNIFICANCE TESTS: COMPOSITE NULL HYPOTHESES
§5.1 General
§5.2 Similar regions
§5.3 Invariant tests
§5.4 Some more difficult problems
Examples 5.1, 5.2, 5.5, 5.9, 5.10

§7 INTERVAL ESTIMATION
§7.3 Scalar parameter with nuisance parameters
§7.4 Vector parameter
§7.5 Estimation of future observations

DAVISON (2003)

Section 7.3.2 (pages 333 - 339)
Section 7.3.3 (pages 339 - 343)

Exercises 7.3 (page 347): 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 13, 14
Problems 7.5 (page 350 - 351): 19, 20

All of the course material is on the github repo.

Exam

Written.

For the preparation of the written exam, you are expected to study all the material (books, lecture notes, slides) including proofs, and complete all the examples and exercises.

Main textbooks

Cox and Hinkley (1976) Theoretical Statistics. Chapman and Hall/CRC.

Davison (2003) Statistical Models. Cambridge University Press.

Other textbooks

Casella and Berger (2002) Statistical inference. Duxbury Press.

Cox (2006) Principles of Statistical Inference. Cambridge University Press.

Lehmann and Romano (2005) Testing Statistical Hypotheses. Springer Texts in Statistics.

Calendar

N Date Hours Room
1 April 15, 2024 10-12 and 14-16 (4 hrs) Aula Seminari U7-2104
2 April 18, 2024 9-12 (3 hrs) Zoom (remote)
3 April 22, 2024 10-12 and 14-16 (4 hrs) Aula Seminari U7-2104
4 April 29, 2024 10-12 (2 hrs) Zoom (remote)
5 May 7, 2024 10-12 (2 hrs) Zoom (remote)